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₿en Gagnon AKA Hashoveride
Ben Gagnon (黃比特) Chief Executive Officer at Bitfarms
Opinions are my own
早安,農民們!
重新發布我昨天的售後市場帖子,供那些錯過的人參考。

₿en Gagnon AKA Hashoveride2025年11月25日
Good afternoon farmers!
Glad to be back on X after my blackout period (technically my blackout ended Monday the 17th but I had a very busy week speaking with institutional investors and revising our strategy through 2030). Because so much has happened since I entered blackout I would like to provide my thoughts on the market in the interim.
The macro environment for the last few weeks has obviously been weak but when you are dealing with multi-year infrastructure projects and decade-long investment cycles short-term market conditions do not impact long-term fundamentals. To the contrary, panic in the markets like we have been seeing for a few weeks is exactly what is needed to test support levels, hit a reset in charts, establish new entry positions, cut interest rates, restart QE and go risk on into midterms which I strongly believe is coming in the months ahead. This is a very bullish setup for 2026.
In times like these it’s important to take a step back and see the forest through the trees. Take a look at the charts attached that show the universe of publicly traded companies that I am following in HPC/AI (QTD and YTD). As of the time of writing this we are basically flat QTD (albeit down from a peak over $6 in October) and we are up ~73% YTD. Almost everyone is up YTD but QTD performance has pulled back across the board.
Emerging markets like HPC/AI are incredibly volatile and without volatility you would have no reward as an investor. Case in point take a look at $AMZN who has one of the biggest data center business in the world but diversification as one of the largest retailers in the world. They have one of the best performances QTD up 2.7% but they are at the bottom of the barrel YTD only up 2.6%. With risk comes reward and YTD $BITF is outperforming the biggest names $GOOGL, $NVDA, $ORCL, $MSFT, $AMZN, $META and $BTC. Why? Because we are solving a very valuable problem, the bottleneck that is slowing down the growth of HPC/AI and the value created in solving that problem is transformative.
At Bitfarms we believe that the biggest limitation between humans and computers/data is the interface. We also believe that improving the interface drives humanity forward.
In the early days you had to write computer programs with index cards that you punched holes in and had to arrange in meticulous order. When programming went from that to human language it significantly improved the interface and unleashed a wave of productivity and adoption.
When people were first using the internet everything had to be shared directly. When google started crawling web pages and made the internet actually searchable, it changed the interface again unleashing another wave of productivity and adoption.
When Apple first introduced the iPhone, it changed the interface on how we interact on the go. The internet went from something only accessible at a desk to available in the palm of your hand whenever and wherever you needed it. This again unleashed a wave of productivity and adoption.
With AI you no longer need to understand how computers think, computers now understand how you think.
This is by far the biggest leap forward in the interface yet and we haven’t even scratched the surface of what’s possible and how AI will be deployed, utilized and adopted. This is a revolution that will play out over years and decades, not days.
So while mainstream news puts out article after article comparing AI to the bubble, you may ask yourself did the internet and ecommerce peak at the bubble? No, the industry is worth exponentially more today than it was during the peak of the era.
If you could freeze time and walk up to a wave you could stand so close to it that you would only see bubbles but that's a matter of perspective. Take a step back, change your perspective and you would only see the wave. This is very common at the beginning of fundamental paradigm shifts because capital is trying to position itself effectively amidst a new reality at the same time that it is trying to understand that same new reality.
Will some companies be overvalued as capital tries to simultaneously understand and position itself in this paradigm shift? Yes. Does that mean we are in a bubble and AI has peaked? Absolutely not.
The reality is that while many people use AI daily the amount of value created by consumers pales in comparison to the value that will be created by enterprises when they apply AI. And while most corporations are talking about how they will apply AI to reduce costs, increase productivity or restructure workflows most of these are in pilot stages. Compared to what will be done in the coming 5-10 years it doesn’t even round to 1%. It rounds to zero. That’s the wave.
It's important to keep perspective in mind during paradigm shifts. Lots of money can and will be made by flipping and day trading but true wealth is created through vision to see out years in the future and executing against that vision with conviction.
The current situation reminds me of when Mark Zuckerberg was offered a Billion dollars for Facebook by Yahoo. Yahoo wanted Facebook because they saw it’s potential and wanted a great deal. Mark could have made a bunch of money in a very short period of time but he never really entertained the Billion. At the time people thought he was crazy but he wasn't. They just didn’t have his vision for what the future held and the conviction that what he was building was revolutionary. That didn't make him crazy it made him able to do things inconceivable to other people.
This is where Bitfarms is today, looking out at the future of this industry with vision and conviction.
We know what the future holds.
We know the value of what we own.
We know the value of what we are building.
I'm bullish.


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各位農夫,午安!
很高興在我的停擺期後回到X(技術上我的停擺在17日星期一結束,但我這周非常忙,與機構投資者交談並修訂我們到2030年的策略)。因為自我進入停擺以來發生了很多事情,我想在此提供我對市場的看法。
過去幾周的宏觀環境顯然很疲弱,但當你處理多年基礎設施項目和十年投資週期時,短期市場條件不會影響長期基本面。相反,市場的恐慌正是我們這幾周所看到的,這正是測試支撐位、重置圖表、建立新進場位置、降低利率、重啟量化寬鬆並在中期選舉前進行風險投資所需的,我堅信這在未來幾個月內會發生。這對2026年來說是一個非常看漲的局面。
在這樣的時期,重要的是退一步,透過樹木看到森林。看看附上的圖表,顯示我在HPC/AI領域關注的公開交易公司的宇宙(QTD和YTD)。截至撰寫本文時,我們基本上是平的QTD(儘管從10月的高峰超過6美元下跌),而YTD上漲約73%。幾乎每個人YTD都在上漲,但QTD的表現卻普遍回落。
像HPC/AI這樣的新興市場非常波動,沒有波動,作為投資者就不會有回報。舉個例子,看看$AMZN,它擁有世界上最大的數據中心業務之一,但作為世界上最大的零售商之一也在多元化。它的QTD表現最佳,上漲2.7%,但YTD卻在谷底,只上漲2.6%。有風險就有回報,而YTD $BITF的表現超過了最大的幾個名字$GOOGL、$NVDA、$ORCL、$MSFT、$AMZN、$META和$BTC。為什麼?因為我們正在解決一個非常有價值的問題,即減緩HPC/AI增長的瓶頸,而解決這個問題所創造的價值是變革性的。
在Bitfarms,我們相信人類與計算機/數據之間最大的限制是介面。我們也相信改善介面能推動人類向前發展。
在早期,你必須用打孔的索引卡編寫計算機程序,並且必須以精確的順序排列。當編程從那種方式轉變為人類語言時,介面顯著改善,釋放了一波生產力和採用的浪潮。
當人們第一次使用互聯網時,所有東西都必須直接共享。當谷歌開始爬取網頁並使互聯網實際上可搜索時,介面再次改變,釋放了另一波生產力和採用的浪潮。
當蘋果首次推出iPhone時,它改變了我們在移動中互動的介面。互聯網從僅在桌面上可訪問的東西變成了隨時隨地都可以在你手掌中使用的東西。這再次釋放了一波生產力和採用的浪潮。
有了AI,你不再需要理解計算機是如何思考的,計算機現在理解你是如何思考的。
這無疑是介面迄今為止最大的飛躍,我們甚至還沒有觸及可能性以及AI將如何被部署、利用和採用的表面。這是一場將在數年和數十年內展開的革命,而不是幾天。
所以,當主流新聞不斷發表文章將AI與泡沫進行比較時,你可能會問自己,互聯網和電子商務在泡沫時期達到頂峰了嗎?不,這個行業今天的價值比泡沫時期高出幾倍。
如果你能凍結時間,走到一個波浪面前,你可以站得如此之近,以至於你只能看到泡沫,但這是一種視角問題。退一步,改變你的視角,你只會看到波浪。在基本範式轉變的開始階段,這是非常常見的,因為資本試圖在理解同一新現實的同時有效地定位自己。
在資本試圖同時理解和定位自己於這一範式轉變時,是否會有一些公司被高估?是的。這是否意味著我們處於泡沫中,AI已經達到頂峰?絕對不是。
現實是,儘管許多人每天都在使用AI,但消費者創造的價值與企業在應用AI時所創造的價值相比,微不足道。而且,儘管大多數公司都在談論如何應用AI來降低成本、提高生產力或重組工作流程,但這些大多數都處於試點階段。與未來5-10年將要做的事情相比,這甚至不算1%。這接近於零。這就是波浪。
在範式轉變期間,保持視角非常重要。通過翻轉和日內交易可以賺取大量金錢,但真正的財富是通過遠見來創造的,看到未來幾年的情況,並以信念執行該願景。
當馬克·祖克伯格被雅虎出價十億美元收購Facebook時,當前的情況讓我想起了這一點。雅虎想要Facebook,因為他們看到了它的潛力並想要一個好交易。馬克本可以在非常短的時間內賺一大筆錢,但他從未真正考慮過這十億美元。當時人們認為他瘋了,但他並沒有。他們只是不具備他對未來的願景和他所建設的東西是革命性的信念。這並沒有讓他瘋狂,而是讓他能夠做出其他人無法想像的事情。
這就是Bitfarms今天的狀況,展望這個行業的未來,充滿願景和信念。
我們知道未來會怎樣。
我們知道我們擁有的價值。
我們知道我們正在建設的價值。
我對此持樂觀態度。


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