這種分析顯得很業餘。市場做市商是在運作良好的市場中非常複雜的參與者。當然,他們應該對大幅波動進行對沖,並且還會在他們做市的報價上進行狙擊,以避免損失,以及其他任何可以降低風險的措施。
Doug Colkitt
Doug Colkitt2025年8月27日
The prediction market chart for TSwift getting engaged shows a scenario where dual flow batch auctions (DFBA) shine over vanilla CLOBs. If the market gaps to 1.0 in a CLOB the lowest latency taker gets an enormously profitable fill against the resting liquidity. The market maker takes a devastating loss, and has to make up by quoting wide and thin in normal times. In a DFBA, as long as the info was at least semi public to multiple parties in the auction window, takers would compete on price not latency. If the market is quoting $0.56 but gapping to $1.00, it’s still profitable for me to bid $0.99 and try to access as much liquidity as possible. If I bid even a little bit lower, I likely lose the auction to a more aggressive taker. Market makers can rest easy knowing they’re protected in a gap scenario. A problem that has particularly plagued discrete resolution prediction markets for a long time. That in turn gives the market makers the confidence to quote tight and deep, and ordinary users get better liquidity and prices. All of that comes for free just by using a DFBAs instead of CLOBs
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