I filmed a video version of my post 'Why I Don’t Think AGI Is Right Around The Corner' so I could show it to my YouTube audience. You can watch it too I guess. 0:00:00 - Continual Learning 0:08:06 - Computer Use 0:11:27 - Reasoning 0:12:45 - So what are my predictions?
Dwarkesh Patel
Dwarkesh Patel3.6.2025
New blog post where I explain why I disagree with this, and why I have slightly longer timelines to AGI than many of my guests. I think continual learning is a huge bottleneck to the usefulness of these models, and extended computer use may take years to sort out. L-nk below.
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