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July FOMC Recap🧵
Powell holds rates steady at 4.25–4.50% for 5th straight time, signals patience > panic.
🔹 DXY spikes
🔹 Stocks flat
🔹 Bitcoin dips
🔹 September cut odds? Now just 50%
Full breakdown of the Fed's cautious tone, dissents & market reaction 👇
30.7.2025
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• Throughput: 5.67 Mgas/s (+97%)
• Stablecoin Supply: $8.17B (+22%)
• TVL: $18.07B (+29%)
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The momentum is real ⚡️
1/ The Decision:
▪️ FOMC voted 9–2 to pause
▪️ Dissenters (Bowman, Waller) wanted a cut
▪️ Fed says growth moderated, inflation still elevated, and uncertainty is back on the table
No clear pivot, just more waiting.
2/ Powell’s Message
▪️ “We’ve made no decision about September”
▪️ Inflation above 2%, labor market stable
▪️ Rates are “modestly restrictive” — Fed is in data mode, not cut mode
Markets took this as a hawkish hold.
3/ Market Reaction
▪️ Stocks: Flat to down
▪️ Yields: Spiked on fading cut hopes
▪️ DXY: Jumped ~1% to 2-month high
▪️ Crypto: BTC dipped from $118.8K to $117.3K
→ No panic, just reset expectations.
4/ Key Risks
▪️ Tariffs may fuel inflation
▪️ Powell: Could be short-term or sticky
▪️ Reaffirmed inflation fight > politics
→ Shrugged off Trump’s pressure to cut
5/ September Cut?
▪️ Odds dropped from 75% ➝ ~39%
▪️ Powell warned against acting “too soon”
▪️ Repeated: “No preset course”
Markets now eye Dec or later for first move.
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