Lighter airdrop will be 25% and Polymarket just pushed the $LIT TGE odds back toward 80% zone Team wallet just moved 250M $LIT. That’s the cleanest hint so far that 250M is the user distribution bucket for TGE. With about 12M points, that works out to about 20.8 $LIT per point if the drop is linear. $LIT premarket is sitting around $3 right now, so the rough point math is about $58 per point. If $LIT prints closer to $4-$5 on launch, that same math turns into $83-$104 per point fast. Right after this, Polymarket lines started drifting up together, not just one market. “FDV above $1B one day after launch” is around 79%, and “airdrop by Dec 31” is around 78%. The “airdrop day” market also tightened up. Dec 29 is still the leader around 40%, and “no airdrop in 2025” is still sitting around 23%, but the whole curve looks more confident than it did before this transfer. Vladimir Novakovski: The tiger doesn't let you know in advance when it will appear...